Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard played?

Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Noteć Czarnków, Czarnków

Noteć Czarnków

Kluczevia Stargard

The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Noteć Czarnków. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Noteć Czarnków (1,791) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).

Noteć Czarnków win29 %

Draw23 %

Kluczevia Stargard win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noteć Czarnków have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

Kluczevia Stargard
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	4-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	3-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Noteć Czarnków win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard 3-0 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 27, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Noteć Czarnków on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15
Kluczevia Stargard	2.1	1.7	2	12/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Noteć Czarnków sit 7th in III Liga - Group 2 (9 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Kluczevia Stargard	5	3	2	0	15	10	11
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard?: The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Noteć Czarnków.
Where and when is Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard played?: Noteć Czarnków vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Noteć Czarnków, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.