Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,694) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Elana Toruń win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Elana Toruń 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 1-2 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Elana Toruń 1-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Elana Toruń vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on April 3, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsVictoria Września
- Apr 3, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsBałtyk Koszalin
- Apr 3, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsPolonia Środa
- Apr 3, 2027Gedania GdanskvsFlota Świnoujście
- Apr 3, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsLech Poznań II
- Apr 3, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsKalisz
- Apr 3, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsLuzino
- Apr 3, 2027Lipno StęszewvsKotwica Kórnik