Kluczevia Stargard vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, Stargard
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kluczevia Stargard vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Kluczevia Stargard (1,773) and Victoria Września (1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kluczevia Stargard have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Kluczevia Stargard win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Victoria Września win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Victoria Września 2-1 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 0-1 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Kluczevia Stargard on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kluczevia Stargard vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Kluczevia Stargard vs Victoria Września played?
- Kluczevia Stargard vs Victoria Września is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko ZKS Kluczevia, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Elana ToruńvsStargard Szczeciński
- Nov 14, 2026Polonia ŚrodavsKotwica Kórnik
- Nov 14, 2026Lech Poznań IIvsBałtyk Koszalin
- Nov 14, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsGedania Gdansk
- Nov 14, 2026LuzinovsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 14, 2026Noteć CzarnkówvsLipno Stęszew
- Nov 14, 2026Wda ŚwiecievsChemik Bydgoszcz
- Nov 14, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsKalisz