Stargard Szczeciński vs Kluczevia Stargard: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński
The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Kluczevia Stargard?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Kluczevia Stargard (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kluczevia Stargard have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(away) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kluczevia Stargard win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-1 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński 0-3 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kluczevia Stargard 1-4 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Kluczevia Stargard 2-1 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Stargard Szczeciński 2-0 Kluczevia Stargard | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Kluczevia Stargard vs Stargard Szczeciński on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kluczevia Stargard score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Kluczevia Stargard sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kluczevia Stargard | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Kluczevia Stargard?
- The Footlab model makes Kluczevia Stargard the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Stargard Szczeciński.
- Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Kluczevia Stargard played?
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Kluczevia Stargard is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Chemik BydgoszczvsLech Poznań II
- Nov 28, 2026Bałtyk KoszalinvsLuzino
- Nov 28, 2026Unia SwarzędzvsKalisz
- Nov 28, 2026Gedania GdanskvsElana Toruń
- Nov 28, 2026Victoria WrześniavsPolonia Środa
- Nov 28, 2026Kotwica KórnikvsFlota Świnoujście
- Nov 28, 2026Grom Nowy StawvsNoteć Czarnków
- Nov 28, 2026Lipno StęszewvsWda Świecie