Match

Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino

LuzinoFlota Świnoujście

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,722).

Luzino win65 %
Draw18 %
Flota Świnoujście win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Flota Świnoujście have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2
Flota Świnoujście
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Victoria Września(home)5-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kalisz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Luzino win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2026Luzino 2-0 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2025Flota Świnoujście 3-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 27, 2024Flota Świnoujście 1-4 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 30, 2023Luzino 1-3 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15
Flota Świnoujście1.31.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Flota Świnoujście sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
5Flota Świnoujście531110310

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 65%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście played?
Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Luzino and Flota Świnoujście

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