Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk played?

Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Swarzędz

Unia Swarzędz

Gedania Gdansk

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Unia Swarzędz (1,763) and Gedania Gdansk (1,668).

Unia Swarzędz win45 %

Draw23 %

Gedania Gdansk win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Swarzędz have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gedania Gdansk have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Swarzędz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	0-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026	Kalisz(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2

Gedania Gdansk
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Lech Poznań II(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Wda Świecie(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Noteć Czarnków(home)	5-3	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2025	Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 5, 2024	Unia Swarzędz 5-0 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 20, 2024	Gedania Gdansk 1-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 22, 2023	Unia Swarzędz 3-4 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2
Apr 29, 2023	Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia Swarzędz	III Liga - Group 2
Sep 24, 2022	Unia Swarzędz 1-3 Gedania Gdansk	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz on May 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Swarzędz	1.9	1.7	4	8/15	11/15
Gedania Gdansk	1.5	2.3	1	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Swarzędz sit 11th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Gedania Gdansk sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Gedania Gdansk	5	1	3	1	12	11	6
11	Unia Swarzędz	5	2	0	3	6	9	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk?: The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk played?: Unia Swarzędz vs Gedania Gdansk is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.