Samtredia vs Shturmi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, Samtredia
The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shturmi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Samtredia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samtredia vs Shturmi?
On Elo ratings, Samtredia has 1,547 points and Shturmi 1,522.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Samtredia vs Shturmi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Samtredia
4-3-3- 10J. Cordero
- 20O. Gagnidze
- 11T. Odikadze
- 7G. Manjgaladze
- 37D. Gvasalia
- 31L. Tsulaia
- 16D. Dobranskyi
- 33G. Latsabidze
- 15G. Kveladze
- 19T. Jangidze
- 12V. Lazarevs
Shturmi
4-3-3- 11L. Papava
- 10G. Omarashvili
- 9L. Butskhrikidze
- 17G. Vekua
- 23N. Talakhadze
- 24L. Kemoklidze
- 15V. Khositashvili
- 28Z. Sekhniashvili
- 40L. Nozadze
- 30T. Shekiladze
- 1L. Gurgenidze
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samtredia have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Shturmi have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sioni(home) | 3-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 5-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 6-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Telavi(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 2-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Aragvi Dusheti(away) | 4-3 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Samtredia wins, 1 draw, 1 Shturmi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Shturmi 0-1 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samtredia 2-1 Shturmi | David Kipiani Cup |
| May 16, 2026 | Samtredia 1-1 Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Shturmi 3-2 Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Samtredia score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Shturmi score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samtredia | 2.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Shturmi | 1.2 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samtredia sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (40 points from 28 matches) and Shturmi sit 2nd (46 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shturmi | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 46 |
| 4 | Samtredia | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 40 |
A question about Samtredia vs Shturmi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samtredia vs Shturmi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Samtredia the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shturmi.
- Where and when is Samtredia vs Shturmi played?
- Samtredia vs Shturmi is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Erosi Manjgaladze, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.