Merani Martvili vs Telavi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 31Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili
The Footlab model makes Telavi the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Merani Martvili. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Telavi?
Telavi starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,566 vs 1,427).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Martvili have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Telavi have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Telavi(away) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shturmi(away) | 1-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Odishi 1919(home) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Gori(home) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Merani Martvili win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Telavi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Telavi 1-0 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Merani Martvili 0-0 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Telavi 1-1 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Oct 26, 2018 | Telavi 0-0 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 9, 2018 | Merani Martvili 2-0 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| May 12, 2018 | Telavi 2-1 Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
Last archived meeting: Telavi vs Merani Martvili on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merani Martvili score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Telavi score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Martvili | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Telavi | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merani Martvili sit 4th in Erovnuli Liga 2 (31 points from 22 matches) and Telavi sit 2nd (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Telavi | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 4 | Merani Martvili | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merani Martvili vs Telavi?
- The Footlab model makes Telavi the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Merani Martvili.
- Where and when is Merani Martvili vs Telavi played?
- Merani Martvili vs Telavi is played on October 31, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.