Match

Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17: prediction and stats

World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo

Uruguay U17Haiti U17

The Footlab model makes Uruguay U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Haiti U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17?

A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Uruguay U17 (1,483) and Haiti U17 (1,466).

Uruguay U17 win44 %
Draw22 %
Haiti U17 win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay U17 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Haiti U17 have 4, 0 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Uruguay U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Chile U17(home)2-3CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 16, 2026Venezuela U17(home)3-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 9, 2026Colombia U17(away)2-0CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 7, 2026Ecuador U17(away)1-2CONMEBOL - U17
Apr 5, 2026Paraguay U17(home)1-1CONMEBOL - U17
Haiti U17
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 10, 2025Venezuela U17(away)2-4World Cup - U17
Nov 7, 2025England U17(away)1-8World Cup - U17
Nov 4, 2025Egypt U17(home)1-4World Cup - U17
Feb 17, 2025Guatemala U17(home)2-0World Cup - U17
Feb 13, 2025Antigua and Barbuda U17(away)3-0World Cup - U17

How many goals should we expect?

Uruguay U17 score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haiti U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Uruguay U171.11.538/158/15
Haiti U171.62.446/1310/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17?
The Footlab model makes Uruguay U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Haiti U17.
Where and when is Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17 played?
Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the World Cup - U17.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Uruguay U17 and Haiti U17

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