Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17: prediction and stats
World Cup - U17Group Stage - 2Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
The Footlab model makes Uruguay U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Haiti U17. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Uruguay U17 (1,483) and Haiti U17 (1,466).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uruguay U17 have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Haiti U17 have 4, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chile U17(home) | 2-3 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Venezuela U17(home) | 3-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Colombia U17(away) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Ecuador U17(away) | 1-2 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Paraguay U17(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL - U17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | Venezuela U17(away) | 2-4 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | England U17(away) | 1-8 | World Cup - U17 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Egypt U17(home) | 1-4 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Guatemala U17(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - U17 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Antigua and Barbuda U17(away) | 3-0 | World Cup - U17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Uruguay U17 score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Haiti U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay U17 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Haiti U17 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 4 | 6/13 | 10/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17?
- The Footlab model makes Uruguay U17 the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for Haiti U17.
- Where and when is Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17 played?
- Uruguay U17 vs Haiti U17 is played on November 22, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Centenario, in the World Cup - U17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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