Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław played?

Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce

Korona Kielce II

Jarosław

The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,772) and Jarosław (1,747).

Korona Kielce II win46 %

Draw24 %

Jarosław win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Jarosław have 7, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Korona Kielce II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	3-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	2-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Naprzód(away)	4-5	III Liga - Group 4

Jarosław
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(away)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jarosław score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Korona Kielce II	2.2	2.3	2	13/15	13/15
Jarosław	2.2	1.7	1	11/13	11/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Jarosław sit 6th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Jarosław	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
17	Korona Kielce II	5	0	1	4	12	16	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław?: The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Jarosław.
Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław played?: Korona Kielce II vs Jarosław is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.