Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Milenium, Skawina
The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Wiślanie Jaśkowice (1,772) and Busko-Zdroj (1,715).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wiślanie Jaśkowice have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Busko-Zdroj | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wiślanie Jaśkowice sit 2nd in III Liga - Group 4 (13 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Busko-Zdroj | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Busko-Zdroj?
- The Footlab model makes Wiślanie Jaśkowice the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Busko-Zdroj.
- Where and when is Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Busko-Zdroj played?
- Wiślanie Jaśkowice vs Busko-Zdroj is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Milenium, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsWisła Kraków II
- Mar 27, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 27, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsJarosław
- Mar 27, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisłoka Dębica
- Mar 27, 2027Star StarachowicevsSokół Kolb.
- Mar 27, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsCzarni Połaniec
- Mar 27, 2027NaprzódvsKSZO 1929
- Mar 27, 2027Moravia MorawicavsHetman Zamosc