Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc?
Moravia Morawica starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,523).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Star Starachowice(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moravia Morawica | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 3/9 | 6/9 |
| Hetman Zamosc | 1.3 | 2.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hetman Zamosc | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc?
- The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc.
- Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc played?
- Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsWisła Kraków II
- Mar 27, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 27, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsJarosław
- Mar 27, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisłoka Dębica
- Mar 27, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsBusko-Zdroj
- Mar 27, 2027Star StarachowicevsSokół Kolb.
- Mar 27, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsCzarni Połaniec
- Mar 27, 2027NaprzódvsKSZO 1929