Match

Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Moravia MorawicaHetman Zamosc

The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc?

Moravia Morawica starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,523).

Moravia Morawica win39 %
Draw25 %
Hetman Zamosc win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hetman Zamosc have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moravia Morawica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Naprzód(home)4-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
Hetman Zamosc
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Korona Kielce II(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Star Starachowice(home)3-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 7, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)1-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)1-1III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; Hetman Zamosc score 1.3 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Moravia Morawica1.12.713/96/9
Hetman Zamosc1.32.4210/1511/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and Hetman Zamosc sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Hetman Zamosc5131756
11Moravia Morawica5203686

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc?
The Footlab model makes Moravia Morawica the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Hetman Zamosc.
Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc played?
Moravia Morawica vs Hetman Zamosc is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Moravia Morawica and Hetman Zamosc

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