Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Czarni Połaniec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów
The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Czarni Połaniec?
Czarni Połaniec starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,771 vs 1,630).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Czarni Połaniec have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moravia Morawica(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(away) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Czarni Połaniec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 3-2 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-0 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Czarni Połaniec 3-0 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 1-1 Czarni Połaniec | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Czarni Połaniec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Czarni Połaniec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Czarni Połaniec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Czarni Połaniec sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Czarni Połaniec | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Czarni Połaniec?
- The Footlab model makes Czarni Połaniec the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
- Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Czarni Połaniec played?
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Czarni Połaniec is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsWisła Kraków II
- Mar 27, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 27, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsJarosław
- Mar 27, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisłoka Dębica
- Mar 27, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsBusko-Zdroj
- Mar 27, 2027Star StarachowicevsSokół Kolb.
- Mar 27, 2027NaprzódvsKSZO 1929
- Mar 27, 2027Moravia MorawicavsHetman Zamosc