Star Starachowice vs Sokół Kolb.: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 24Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice
The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sokół Kolb.. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Star Starachowice vs Sokół Kolb.?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,762) and Sokół Kolb. (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sokół Kolb. have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KSZO 1929(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 2-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(away) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sokół Kolb. win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sokół Kolb. 1-2 Star Starachowice | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Star Starachowice 2-0 Sokół Kolb. | III Liga - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Sokół Kolb. vs Star Starachowice on Apr 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sokół Kolb. score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Star Starachowice | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sokół Kolb. | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Sokół Kolb. sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sokół Kolb. | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | Star Starachowice | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Sokół Kolb.?
- The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Sokół Kolb..
- Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Sokół Kolb. played?
- Star Starachowice vs Sokół Kolb. is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 27, 2027Chełmianka ChełmvsWisła Kraków II
- Mar 27, 2027Siarka TarnobrzegvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Mar 27, 2027Korona Kielce IIvsJarosław
- Mar 27, 2027Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsWisłoka Dębica
- Mar 27, 2027Wiślanie JaśkowicevsBusko-Zdroj
- Mar 27, 2027Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsCzarni Połaniec
- Mar 27, 2027NaprzódvsKSZO 1929
- Mar 27, 2027Moravia MorawicavsHetman Zamosc