Korona Kielce II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Korona, Kielce
The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Korona Kielce II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Korona Kielce II (1,772) and KS Wieczysta Krakow II (1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Korona Kielce II have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; KS Wieczysta Krakow II have 2, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(home) | 3-4 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Hetman Zamosc(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | KSZO 1929(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Naprzód(away) | 4-5 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisłoka Dębica(away) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sokół Kolb.(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jarosław(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Busko-Zdroj(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Czarni Połaniec(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Korona Kielce II score 2.2 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; KS Wieczysta Krakow II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce II | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Korona Kielce II sit 17th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and KS Wieczysta Krakow II sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KS Wieczysta Krakow II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Korona Kielce II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II?
- The Footlab model makes Korona Kielce II the favourite at 44%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for KS Wieczysta Krakow II.
- Where and when is Korona Kielce II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II played?
- Korona Kielce II vs KS Wieczysta Krakow II is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Korona, in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsPodlasie Biała Podlaska
- Sep 26, 2026KSZO 1929vsHetman Zamosc
- Sep 26, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsWisłoka Dębica
- Sep 26, 2026Star StarachowicevsSiarka Tarnobrzeg
- Sep 26, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsSokół Kolb.
- Sep 26, 2026Wisła Kraków IIvsCzarni Połaniec
- Sep 26, 2026NaprzódvsBusko-Zdroj
- Sep 26, 2026Moravia MorawicavsJarosław