Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?

Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Starachowice

Star Starachowice

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Star Starachowice (1,762) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg (1,714).

Star Starachowice win55 %

Draw24 %

Siarka Tarnobrzeg win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Star Starachowice have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Siarka Tarnobrzeg have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Star Starachowice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	0-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026	KSZO 1929(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 4

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sokół Kolb.(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Jarosław(home)	1-3	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Busko-Zdroj(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Czarni Połaniec(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Hetman Zamosc(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Star Starachowice win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Siarka Tarnobrzeg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 14, 2026	Star Starachowice 2-0 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Jan 28, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-2 Star Starachowice	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 27, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 2-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
May 17, 2025	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1-2 Star Starachowice	III Liga - Group 4
Oct 18, 2024	Star Starachowice 0-3 Siarka Tarnobrzeg	III Liga - Group 4
Sep 25, 2024	Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4-1 Star Starachowice	Cup

Last archived meeting: Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Star Starachowice score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Siarka Tarnobrzeg score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Star Starachowice	1.3	1.9	2	11/15	10/15
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1.4	2.0	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Star Starachowice sit 15th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Siarka Tarnobrzeg sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
15	Star Starachowice	5	1	2	2	5	8	5
16	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	5	1	1	3	6	8	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg?: The Footlab model makes Star Starachowice the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Siarka Tarnobrzeg.
Where and when is Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg played?: Star Starachowice vs Siarka Tarnobrzeg is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.