Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa played?

Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Kotwica Kórnik

Polonia Środa

The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa?

Polonia Środa starts as the favourite with a 238-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,634).

Kotwica Kórnik win17 %

Draw20 %

Polonia Środa win63 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kotwica Kórnik have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Polonia Środa have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Kotwica Kórnik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoria Września(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Flota Świnoujście(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Luzino(home)	2-6	III Liga - Group 2

Polonia Środa
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Lipno Stęszew(away)	3-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Stargard Szczeciński(home)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)	4-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 7, 2026	Victoria Września(home)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Bałtyk Koszalin(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Kotwica Kórnik win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Polonia Środa win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2026	Kotwica Kórnik 1-3 Polonia Środa	Friendlies Clubs
May 21, 2025	Polonia Środa 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 26, 2024	Kotwica Kórnik 0-5 Polonia Środa	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa on Jan 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Środa score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Kotwica Kórnik	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	9/15
Polonia Środa	1.9	1.2	4	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Środa sit 1st (15 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Polonia Środa	5	5	0	0	15	4	15
18	Kotwica Kórnik	5	0	1	4	4	12	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa?: The Footlab model makes Polonia Środa the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa played?: Kotwica Kórnik vs Polonia Środa is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.