Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk
The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Gedania Gdansk (1,669) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 5-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elana Toruń(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kalisz(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2025 | Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Unia Swarzędz 5-0 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Gedania Gdansk 1-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Unia Swarzędz 3-4 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia Swarzędz | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Unia Swarzędz 1-3 Gedania Gdansk | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz on May 3, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gedania Gdansk | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Unia Swarzędz | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gedania Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 6 |
| 11 | Unia Swarzędz | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz?
- The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gedania Gdansk.
- Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz played?
- Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsWda Świecie
- May 29, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsElana Toruń
- May 29, 2027KaliszvsGrom Nowy Staw
- May 29, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLech Poznań II
- May 29, 2027Flota ŚwinoujścievsLuzino
- May 29, 2027Victoria WrześniavsKluczevia Stargard
- May 29, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsPolonia Środa
- May 29, 2027Lipno StęszewvsNoteć Czarnków