Match

Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, Gdańsk

Gedania GdanskUnia Swarzędz

The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gedania Gdansk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz?

A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Gedania Gdansk (1,669) and Unia Swarzędz (1,763).

Gedania Gdansk win34 %
Draw23 %
Unia Swarzędz win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gedania Gdansk have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Unia Swarzędz have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gedania Gdansk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Elana Toruń(away)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)5-3III Liga - Group 2
Unia Swarzędz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Wda Świecie(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Elana Toruń(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Noteć Czarnków(home)0-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Kalisz(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gedania Gdansk win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Unia Swarzędz win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 3, 2025Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Oct 5, 2024Unia Swarzędz 5-0 Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 20, 2024Gedania Gdansk 1-2 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 22, 2023Unia Swarzędz 3-4 Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 29, 2023Gedania Gdansk 0-2 Unia SwarzędzIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 24, 2022Unia Swarzędz 1-3 Gedania GdanskIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz on May 3, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Gedania Gdansk score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Unia Swarzędz score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gedania Gdansk1.52.318/1510/15
Unia Swarzędz1.91.748/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gedania Gdansk sit 10th in III Liga - Group 2 (6 points from 5 matches) and Unia Swarzędz sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Gedania Gdansk513112116
11Unia Swarzędz5203696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz?
The Footlab model makes Unia Swarzędz the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Gedania Gdansk.
Where and when is Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz played?
Gedania Gdansk vs Unia Swarzędz is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Gedania 1922 Gdańsk, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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