Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków played?

Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko Lipno Stęszew, Stęszew

Lipno Stęszew

Noteć Czarnków

The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lipno Stęszew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Lipno Stęszew (1,709) and Noteć Czarnków (1,791).

Lipno Stęszew win32 %

Draw24 %

Noteć Czarnków win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lipno Stęszew have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Noteć Czarnków have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lipno Stęszew
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Środa(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Lech Poznań II(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026	Kluczevia Stargard(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Wda Świecie(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026	Elana Toruń(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 2

Noteć Czarnków
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Elana Toruń(home)	3-1	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026	Kalisz(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026	Unia Swarzędz(away)	3-0	III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026	Grom Nowy Staw(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 2
Jul 31, 2026	Gedania Gdansk(away)	3-5	III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Lipno Stęszew win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Noteć Czarnków win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Lipno Stęszew 1-0 Noteć Czarnków	III Liga - Group 2
Oct 12, 2025	Noteć Czarnków 3-1 Lipno Stęszew	III Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków on May 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lipno Stęszew score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Noteć Czarnków score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lipno Stęszew	1.3	1.7	4	7/15	9/15
Noteć Czarnków	1.7	1.3	4	7/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lipno Stęszew sit 17th in III Liga - Group 2 (1 points from 5 matches) and Noteć Czarnków sit 7th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Noteć Czarnków	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
17	Lipno Stęszew	5	0	1	4	5	11	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków?: The Footlab model makes Noteć Czarnków the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Lipno Stęszew.
Where and when is Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków played?: Lipno Stęszew vs Noteć Czarnków is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko Lipno Stęszew, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.