Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Victoria Września(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kalisz(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Luzino win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Luzino 2-0 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Flota Świnoujście 3-1 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Flota Świnoujście 1-4 Luzino | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Luzino 1-3 Flota Świnoujście | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flota Świnoujście | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Flota Świnoujście | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Flota Świnoujście.
- Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino played?
- Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 29, 2027Chemik BydgoszczvsWda Świecie
- May 29, 2027Stargard SzczecińskivsElana Toruń
- May 29, 2027KaliszvsGrom Nowy Staw
- May 29, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLech Poznań II
- May 29, 2027Gedania GdanskvsUnia Swarzędz
- May 29, 2027Victoria WrześniavsKluczevia Stargard
- May 29, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsPolonia Środa
- May 29, 2027Lipno StęszewvsNoteć Czarnków