Match

Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świnoujście

Flota ŚwinoujścieLuzino

The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Flota Świnoujście. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino?

Luzino starts as the favourite with a 171-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,722).

Flota Świnoujście win23 %
Draw22 %
Luzino win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flota Świnoujście have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Luzino have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flota Świnoujście
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(away)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Victoria Września(home)5-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(home)2-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kalisz(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Luzino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 14, 2026Victoria Września(away)3-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Kotwica Kórnik(away)6-2III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Flota Świnoujście win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Luzino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2026Luzino 2-0 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 23, 2025Flota Świnoujście 3-1 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 27, 2024Flota Świnoujście 1-4 LuzinoIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 30, 2023Luzino 1-3 Flota ŚwinoujścieIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luzino vs Flota Świnoujście on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Flota Świnoujście score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flota Świnoujście1.31.347/158/15
Luzino2.31.3310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flota Świnoujście sit 5th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Luzino sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Luzino531114710
5Flota Świnoujście531110310

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino?
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Flota Świnoujście.
Where and when is Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino played?
Flota Świnoujście vs Luzino is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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