Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Elana Toruń (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wda Świecie(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Elana Toruń win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Elana Toruń 1-0 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 0-2 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Stargard Szczeciński 4-0 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Elana Toruń 0-2 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Stargard Szczeciński 3-3 Elana Toruń | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Elana Toruń 3-0 Stargard Szczeciński | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Stargard Szczeciński on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stargard Szczeciński | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Stargard Szczeciński | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń?
- The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń played?
- Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- May 29, 2027KaliszvsGrom Nowy Staw
- May 29, 2027Bałtyk KoszalinvsLech Poznań II
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- May 29, 2027Gedania GdanskvsUnia Swarzędz
- May 29, 2027Victoria WrześniavsKluczevia Stargard
- May 29, 2027Kotwica KórnikvsPolonia Środa
- May 29, 2027Lipno StęszewvsNoteć Czarnków