Match

Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Stargard Szczeciński

Stargard SzczecińskiElana Toruń

The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Stargard Szczeciński (1,779) and Elana Toruń (1,695).

Stargard Szczeciński win50 %
Draw23 %
Elana Toruń win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stargard Szczeciński have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Elana Toruń have 1, 4 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stargard Szczeciński
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Luzino(home)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Polonia Środa(away)1-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Lech Poznań II(home)4-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Kluczevia Stargard(away)1-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Wda Świecie(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Elana Toruń
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Noteć Czarnków(away)1-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Unia Swarzędz(home)2-3III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Grom Nowy Staw(away)2-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Gedania Gdansk(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stargard Szczeciński win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Elana Toruń win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2026Elana Toruń 1-0 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 9, 2025Stargard Szczeciński 0-2 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Apr 6, 2025Stargard Szczeciński 4-0 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Sep 8, 2024Elana Toruń 0-2 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2
Nov 25, 2023Stargard Szczeciński 3-3 Elana ToruńIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 5, 2023Elana Toruń 3-0 Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Stargard Szczeciński on Mar 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stargard Szczeciński score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stargard Szczeciński1.71.5510/1510/15
Elana Toruń1.02.5010/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stargard Szczeciński sit 9th in III Liga - Group 2 (7 points from 5 matches) and Elana Toruń sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Stargard Szczeciński52129107
12Elana Toruń51228105

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń?
The Footlab model makes Stargard Szczeciński the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Elana Toruń.
Where and when is Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń played?
Stargard Szczeciński vs Elana Toruń is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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