Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hirnyk, Kryvyi Rih
The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Kolos Kovalivka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Kryvbas KR (1,870) and Kolos Kovalivka (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kryvbas KR have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kryvbas KR win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kolos Kovalivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Kolos Kovalivka 2-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Kolos Kovalivka | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Kolos Kovalivka 0-3 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Kolos Kovalivka | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kryvbas KR sit 7th in Premier League (4 points from 3 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka?
- The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Kolos Kovalivka.
- Where and when is Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka played?
- Kryvbas KR vs Kolos Kovalivka is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hirnyk, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.