Polessya vs Kudrivka: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Kudrivka. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Polessya vs Kudrivka?
Polessya starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polessya have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kudrivka have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lozova(away) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Polessya win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kudrivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Kudrivka 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Polessya 2-0 Kudrivka | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kudrivka score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kudrivka | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Polessya sit 5th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Kudrivka sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Kudrivka | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Kudrivka?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 64%, against 22% for a draw and 14% for Kudrivka.
- Where and when is Polessya vs Kudrivka played?
- Polessya vs Kudrivka is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tsentralnyi Stadion, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.