Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Metalist, Kharkiv
The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,852 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Obolon'-Brovar have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Obolon'-Brovar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-3 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Cup |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2024 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Premier League |
| May 8, 2021 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-1 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Obolon'-Brovar vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv sit 9th in Premier League (3 points from 3 matches) and Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar?
- The Footlab model makes Metalist 1925 Kharkiv the favourite at 57%, against 28% for a draw and 15% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar played?
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Obolon'-Brovar is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Metalist, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.