Match

Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

Moravia MorawicaKSZO 1929

The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929?

KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,709).

Moravia Morawica win20 %
Draw23 %
KSZO 1929 win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Moravia Morawica
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Wisła Kraków II(away)0-1III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Naprzód(home)4-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026Chełmianka Chełm(home)0-3III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away)2-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home)0-2III Liga - Group 4
KSZO 1929
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away)2-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 14, 2026Korona Kielce II(home)3-2III Liga - Group 4
Aug 9, 2026Star Starachowice(away)0-0III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home)1-0III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Moravia Morawica1.12.713/96/9
KSZO 19291.91.148/158/15

Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3KSZO 192953207411
11Moravia Morawica5203686

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929?
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Moravia Morawica.
Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929 played?
Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929 is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Moravia Morawica and KSZO 1929

Ready to know everything about football?