Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Moravia Morawica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929?
KSZO 1929 starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,895 vs 1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Moravia Morawica have 2 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; KSZO 1929 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wisła Kraków II(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naprzód(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chełmianka Chełm(home) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(home) | 0-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wiślanie Jaśkowice(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Korona Kielce II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Star Starachowice(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Podlasie Biała Podlaska(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Moravia Morawica score 1.1 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 9; KSZO 1929 score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moravia Morawica | 1.1 | 2.7 | 1 | 3/9 | 6/9 |
| KSZO 1929 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moravia Morawica sit 11th in III Liga - Group 4 (6 points from 5 matches) and KSZO 1929 sit 3rd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | KSZO 1929 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Moravia Morawica | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929?
- The Footlab model makes KSZO 1929 the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Moravia Morawica.
- Where and when is Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929 played?
- Moravia Morawica vs KSZO 1929 is played on August 30, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Wiślanie JaśkowicevsCzarni Połaniec
- Aug 28, 2026Podlasie Biała PodlaskavsSokół Kolb.
- Aug 29, 2026Korona Kielce IIvsBusko-Zdroj
- Aug 29, 2026Siarka TarnobrzegvsWisłoka Dębica
- Aug 29, 2026Pogoń-Sokół LubaczówvsHetman Zamosc
- Aug 29, 2026JarosławvsStar Starachowice
- Aug 29, 2026Chełmianka ChełmvsKS Wieczysta Krakow II
- Aug 30, 2026NaprzódvsWisła Kraków II