KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Väre Areena, Kuopio
The Footlab model makes KuPS the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shamrock Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
KuPS starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,911 vs 1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, KuPS have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Shamrock Rovers have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lahti(away) | 2-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Turku PS(home) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | St Patrick's Athl.(away) | 2-3 | FAI Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(away) | 1-5 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Dundalk(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 KuPS win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Shamrock Rovers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS | UEFA Europa Conference League |
Last archived meeting: Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS on Aug 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
KuPS score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Shamrock Rovers score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Shamrock Rovers | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
KuPS sit 21st in UEFA Europa Conference League (7 points from 6 matches) and Shamrock Rovers sit 31st (4 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | KuPS | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 31 | Shamrock Rovers | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers?
- The Footlab model makes KuPS the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shamrock Rovers.
- Where and when is KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers played?
- KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers is played on August 27, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Väre Areena, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.