Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Sumqayıt the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Kür-Araz. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt?
Sumqayıt starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,666 vs 1,531).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kür-Araz
Not enough data to predict the Kür-Araz lineup.
Sumqayıt
4-3-3- 10Ronaldo Junior Vásquez Herasme
- 9Jeam
- 11M. Bangré
- 42C. Badolo
- 55Lucas Black
- 29E. Mustafaev
- 4Easah Suliman
- 5Renan
- 80Keffel
- 21Tiago Almeida
- 16M. Johansson
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:40 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Kür-Araz have 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Sumqayıt have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | Dinamo Bakı(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Araz(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Qabala(home) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Turan(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Kür-Araz score 1.5 and concede 4.5 goals per match over their last 2; Sumqayıt score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kür-Araz | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 2/2 | 2/2 |
| Sumqayıt | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
A question about Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sumqayıt the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Kür-Araz.
- Where and when is Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt played?
- Kür-Araz vs Sumqayıt is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.