Qabala vs Mingəçevir: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Şəhər stadionu, Qəbələ
The Footlab AI model makes Qabala the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Mingəçevir. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Qabala vs Mingəçevir?
Qabala starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,655 vs 1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Qabala vs Mingəçevir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Qabala
4-3-3- 80M. Ubochioma
- 9K. Rossi
- 24I. Akinade
- 10Shahin Shahniyarov
- 27E. Ahmadov
- 4E. Camalov
- 16I. Amoah
- 5N. Monzango
- 12K. Mabea
- 3Edson
- 1S. Ağayev
Mingəçevir
4-3-3- 11K. Kalunga
- ÄÄ°. Æliyev
- TT. Məmədzadə
- 10Q. Alizada
- 15S. Mammadov
- 60E. Bayramov
- 16F. Bayramov
- 22E. Mustafayev
- 32R. Cafarli
- 33A. Eyubov
- 1O. Sadiqli
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Qabala have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Mingəçevir have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sumqayıt(away) | 1-4 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 0-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kapaz(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Imisli FK(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 0-3 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Səbail(away) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 2-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 28, 2026 | Qabala(away) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Qabala wins, 0 draws, 0 Mingəçevir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 28, 2026 | Qabala 2-0 Mingəçevir | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Qabala 5-1 Mingəçevir | Cup |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Qabala 2-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
| Dec 24, 2024 | Mingəçevir 0-2 Qabala | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Qabala 2-0 Mingəçevir | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
Qabala score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mingəçevir score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qabala | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mingəçevir | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Qabala vs Mingəçevir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Qabala vs Mingəçevir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Qabala the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Mingəçevir.
- Where and when is Qabala vs Mingəçevir played?
- Qabala vs Mingəçevir is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Şəhər stadionu, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.