Şimal vs Araz: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Araz the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Şimal. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şimal vs Araz?
Araz is a heavy favourite: 1,688 Elo points against 1,376, a 312-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Şimal vs Araz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Şimal
Not enough data to predict the Şimal lineup.
Araz
4-3-3- 9A. Salyanskiy
- 23A. Fernandez
- 19S. Abdallah
- 6Patrick Andrade
- 11M. Mara
- 2A. Rzayev
- 5L. Dumančić
- 27B. Letić
- 17I. Paro
- 12Bruno
- 99T. Əhmədli
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şimal have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Araz have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 1-4 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Cəbrayıl(home) | 1-2 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 27, 2026 | Qaradağ Lökbatan(home) | 2-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kapaz(home) | 0-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(away) | 1-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Turan(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Qarabag(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Şimal score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Araz score 1.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şimal | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Araz | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Şimal vs Araz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şimal vs Araz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Araz the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Şimal.
- Where and when is Şimal vs Araz played?
- Şimal vs Araz is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.