MOIK vs Şahdağ: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Binə qəsəbə stadionu, Binə
The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for MOIK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Şahdağ wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win MOIK vs Şahdağ?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate MOIK (1,496) and Şahdağ (1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for MOIK vs Şahdağ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
MOIK
4-3-3- RRamil Orucov
- İİ. Əliyev
- EE. Abdullayev
- ÜÜ. İbazadə
- NN. Bayramov
- CC. Tağıyev
- FFərid Abbaslı
- NN. Tamazov
- NN. Qurbanlı
- NN. Əskərov
- ZZ. Əhmədzadə
Şahdağ
4-3-3- NNodar Məmmədov
- TTural Qürbətov
- RR. Mansurov
- RR. Əmirquliyev
- RR. Ağalarov
- ÆÆ. QarÉ™hmÉ™dov
- RRubin Seyidov
- RR. Hacıyev
- İİlyas Səfərzadə
- EElnur Şiriyev
- RRafiq Kərimov
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MOIK have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Şahdağ have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mingəçevir(home) | 3-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Xankəndi FK(away) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Şimal(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Şahdağ(home) | 0-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 21, 2026 | Difai Ağsu(home) | 4-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Zaqatala(home) | 6-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Şimal(away) | 4-1 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Karvan(home) | 2-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 3, 2026 | MOIK(away) | 1-0 | Birinci Dasta |
| May 22, 2026 | Baku Sportinq(home) | 1-1 | Birinci Dasta |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 MOIK win, 2 draws, 3 Şahdağ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | MOIK 0-1 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
| Apr 29, 2026 | MOIK 0-1 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Şahdağ 1-1 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Sep 11, 2025 | MOIK 1-2 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
| Mar 4, 2017 | Şahdağ 0-0 MOIK | Birinci Dasta |
| Oct 4, 2016 | MOIK 6-0 Şahdağ | Birinci Dasta |
How many goals should we expect?
MOIK score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Şahdağ score 1.6 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOIK | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Şahdağ | 1.6 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about MOIK vs Şahdağ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for MOIK vs Şahdağ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Şahdağ the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for MOIK.
- Where and when is MOIK vs Şahdağ played?
- MOIK vs Şahdağ is played on October 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Binə qəsəbə stadionu, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.