Kuressaare vs Tammeka: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kuressaare linnastaadion, Kuressaare
The Footlab model makes Kuressaare the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tammeka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kuressaare vs Tammeka?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Kuressaare (1,488) and Tammeka (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kuressaare have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tammeka have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tammeka(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(away) | 3-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kristiine JK(away) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Laagri(home) | 3-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Paide(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuressaare(home) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rumori Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Zealot Sporting(home) | 19-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kuressaare win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Tammeka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tammeka 1-0 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| May 8, 2026 | Tammeka 1-0 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kuressaare 3-2 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Tammeka 0-1 Kuressaare | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 11, 2025 | Kuressaare 0-2 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 17, 2025 | Kuressaare 2-3 Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Tammeka vs Kuressaare on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kuressaare score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tammeka score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Tammeka | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kuressaare sit 9th in Meistriliiga (24 points from 24 matches) and Tammeka sit 5th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tammeka | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 31 | 32 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kuressaare vs Tammeka?
- The Footlab model makes Kuressaare the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Tammeka.
- Where and when is Kuressaare vs Tammeka played?
- Kuressaare vs Tammeka is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kuressaare linnastaadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.