Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva: prediction and stats
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hiiu staadion, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Trans Narva. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva?
Kalju Nomme starts as the favourite with a 254-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,483).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kalju Nomme have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Trans Narva have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Laagri(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vaprus(home) | 3-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Poseidon(away) | 12-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 2-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Tammeka(home) | 5-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-4 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paide(home) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kompanii Marjamaa(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nõmme United(away) | 2-1 | Meistriliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kalju Nomme win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Trans Narva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trans Narva 0-2 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| May 1, 2026 | Trans Narva 0-3 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Kalju Nomme 2-1 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Trans Narva 0-0 Kalju Nomme | Meistriliiga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 1-2 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Kalju Nomme 2-0 Trans Narva | Meistriliiga |
Last archived meeting: Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kalju Nomme score 2.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Trans Narva score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalju Nomme | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Trans Narva | 1.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kalju Nomme sit 2nd in Meistriliiga (44 points from 24 matches) and Trans Narva sit 10th (17 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kalju Nomme | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 19 | 44 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 55 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva?
- The Footlab model makes Kalju Nomme the favourite at 81%, against 14% for a draw and 5% for Trans Narva.
- Where and when is Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva played?
- Kalju Nomme vs Trans Narva is played on September 11, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Hiiu staadion, in the Meistriliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.