Kuressaare vs Vaprus: result 2-1 and analysis
MeistriliigaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 21, 2021 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kuressaare kunstmuru, Kuressaare
Full time
What was the result of Kuressaare vs Vaprus?
Kuressaare won 2-1 on April 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 45′M. PajunurmKuressaare (pen.)
- 46′V. VallikVaprus
- 78′M. MännilaanKuressaare
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kuressaare have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Vaprus have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2021 | Legion(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Paide(away) | 0-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 7, 2021 | Kalju Nomme(home) | 0-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Tammeka(home) | 1-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Tulevik(home) | 2-3 | Meistriliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | Kalju Nomme(away) | 1-0 | Meistriliiga |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Tammeka(home) | 1-2 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Trans Narva(away) | 1-1 | Meistriliiga |
| Mar 13, 2021 | FC Levadia Tallinn(away) | 0-5 | Meistriliiga |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Maardu(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Kuressaare score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vaprus score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuressaare | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Vaprus | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kuressaare sit 9th in Meistriliiga (24 points from 24 matches) and Vaprus sit 7th (27 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Vaprus | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 27 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 39 | 24 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy