Notaresco vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, Notaresco
The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Notaresco. The most likely score is 1-1. If L'Aquila wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,550 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Notaresco (1,774) and L'Aquila (1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notaresco vs L'Aquila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notaresco
5-3-2- 10P. Banegas
- 17A. Mancini
- 9Mateus Ribeiro
- 7L. Marchionni
- 4L. Bianciardi
- 6I. Speranza
- 33M. Gallo
- 24R. Di Stefano
- 5G. Colombatti
- 13J. Di Saverio
- 1K. Shiba
L'Aquila
Not enough data to predict the L'Aquila lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 03:23 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notaresco have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; L'Aquila have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pietralunga(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Recanatese(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Santegidiese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Termoli Calcio(home) | 5-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pietralunga(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Notaresco wins, 0 draws, 4 L'Aquila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | L'Aquila 0-2 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Notaresco 1-2 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Notaresco 1-0 L'Aquila | Serie D - Girone F |
| Oct 23, 2024 | L'Aquila 2-1 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 1, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-0 Notaresco | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| May 5, 2024 | L'Aquila 1-0 Notaresco | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Notaresco score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 1.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notaresco | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| L'Aquila | 1.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notaresco sit 5th in Serie D - Girone F (14 points from 8 matches) and L'Aquila sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L'Aquila | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Notaresco | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notaresco vs L'Aquila?
- The Footlab AI model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Notaresco.
- Where and when is Notaresco vs L'Aquila played?
- Notaresco vs L'Aquila is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Vincenzo Savini, in the Serie D - Girone F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.