Where and when is Recanatese vs L'Aquila played?

Recanatese vs L'Aquila is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Recanatese vs L'Aquila: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone FGroup F - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, Recanati

Recanatese

L'Aquila

The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Recanatese. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Recanatese vs L'Aquila?

L'Aquila starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,726 vs 1,622).

Recanatese win33 %

Draw26 %

L'Aquila win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recanatese have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; L'Aquila have 2, 7 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Recanatese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 17, 2026	Victor San Marino(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone F
May 3, 2026	Fossombrone(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Teramo(away)	2-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Sora(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Maceratese(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F

L'Aquila
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Termoli Calcio(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 26, 2026	Ancona(home)	0-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 19, 2026	Ostia Mare(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 12, 2026	Sammaurese(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone F
Apr 2, 2026	Notaresco(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone F

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Recanatese win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 L'Aquila win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2026	Recanatese 0-2 L'Aquila	Serie D - Girone F
Sep 24, 2025	L'Aquila 2-1 Recanatese	Serie D - Girone F
Jan 19, 2025	Recanatese 0-2 L'Aquila	Serie D - Girone F
Sep 22, 2024	L'Aquila 2-1 Recanatese	Serie D - Girone F

Last archived meeting: Recanatese vs L'Aquila on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Recanatese score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; L'Aquila score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Recanatese	1.3	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
L'Aquila	0.9	1.3	5	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Recanatese sit 15th in Serie D - Girone F (32 points from 34 matches) and L'Aquila sit 6th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	L'Aquila	34	14	9	11	53	44	51
15	Recanatese	34	8	8	18	39	57	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Recanatese vs L'Aquila?: The Footlab model makes L'Aquila the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Recanatese.
Where and when is Recanatese vs L'Aquila played?: Recanatese vs L'Aquila is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nicola Tubaldi, in the Serie D - Girone F.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.