Avilés Stadium vs San Martín: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Muro de Zaro, Avilés
The Footlab AI model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for San Martín. The most likely score is 0-0. If Avilés Stadium wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,712 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Avilés Stadium vs San Martín?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Avilés Stadium (1,667) and San Martín (1,748).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Avilés Stadium vs San Martín
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Avilés Stadium
Not enough data to predict the Avilés Stadium lineup.
San Martín
Not enough data to predict the San Martín lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 01:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avilés Stadium have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; San Martín have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Langreo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Llanes(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Lealtad(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Praviano(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | L'Entregu(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Covadonga(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ceares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Astur(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Avilés Stadium wins, 1 draw, 1 San Martín win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Avilés Stadium 0-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | San Martín 2-0 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | San Martín 0-1 Avilés Stadium | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Avilés Stadium 1-0 San Martín | Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Avilés Stadium vs San Martín on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Avilés Stadium score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Martín score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avilés Stadium | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| San Martín | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avilés Stadium sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 7 matches) and San Martín sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | San Martín | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Avilés Stadium vs San Martín?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Avilés Stadium vs San Martín?
- The Footlab AI model makes Avilés Stadium the favourite at 34%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for San Martín.
- Where and when is Avilés Stadium vs San Martín played?
- Avilés Stadium vs San Martín is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Muro de Zaro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.