Match

Palencia CF vs Unionistas II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Nueva Balastera, Palencia

Palencia CFUnionistas II

The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Unionistas II. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palencia CF vs Unionistas II?

Palencia CF starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,808 vs 1,708).

Palencia CF win62 %
Draw22 %
Unionistas II win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palencia CF have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Unionistas II have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palencia CF
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Sporting Gijón II(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 31, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 23, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 17, 2026Cristo Atlético(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Unionistas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Guijuelo(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Numancia II(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026Cristo Atlético(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026Villaralbo(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 19, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Palencia CF win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Unionistas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Unionistas II 0-1 Palencia CFTercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 26, 2025Palencia CF 3-1 Unionistas IITercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Unionistas II vs Palencia CF on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Palencia CF score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas II score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Palencia CF1.71.5211/1510/15
Unionistas II1.61.348/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Palencia CF sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (64 points from 34 matches) and Unionistas II sit 15th (31 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Palencia CF3420410593964
15Unionistas II3461315324331

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palencia CF vs Unionistas II?
The Footlab model makes Palencia CF the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Unionistas II.
Where and when is Palencia CF vs Unionistas II played?
Palencia CF vs Unionistas II is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Nueva Balastera, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Palencia CF and Unionistas II

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