Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD played?

Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Laguna de Duero

San Fernando CD

The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD?

San Fernando CD starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,542).

Laguna de Duero win33 %

Draw29 %

San Fernando CD win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laguna de Duero have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Laguna de Duero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2025	Cultural Leonesa II(home)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 4, 2025	Cristo Atlético(away)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 1, 2025	Mirandés II(home)	1-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2025	Atlético Mansillés(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 20, 2025	Ciudad Rodrigo(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

San Fernando CD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025	Albacete(home)	0-3	Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025	Cádiz II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Laguna de Duero	0.9	2.1	3	7/15	8/15
San Fernando CD	0.4	1.3	4	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD?: The Footlab model makes San Fernando CD the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Laguna de Duero.
Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD played?: Laguna de Duero vs San Fernando CD is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.