Avro vs Lancaster City: result 5-3 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Vestacare Stadium, Oldham, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Avro vs Lancaster City?
Avro won 5-3 on October 7, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′583848Avro
- 18′614522Lancaster City
- 32′668407Avro
- 44′614532Lancaster City
- 54′668407Avro
- 66′614536Lancaster City
- 72′M. HarropAvro
- 90′J. Holland-WilkinsonAvro
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Avro win at 56%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 5-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avro have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Lancaster City have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dunston UTS(away) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Witton Albion(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | United of Manchester(away) | 4-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Stockton Town(home) | 5-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(away) | 1-5 | FA Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bradford (Park Avenue)(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
How many goals should we expect?
Avro score 3.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lancaster City score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avro | 3.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Lancaster City | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Avro sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (25 points from 12 matches) and Lancaster City sit 10th (20 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Avro | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 23 | 25 |
| 10 | Lancaster City | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 26 | 20 |
A question about Avro vs Lancaster City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 6, 2026Alfreton Town1-0United of Manchester
- Oct 6, 2026Curzon Ashton3-1Redcar Athletic
- Oct 6, 2026Ilkeston Town0-2Guiseley AFC
- Oct 6, 2026Leek Town3-3Rylands
- Oct 6, 2026Cleethorpes Town1-0Hyde United
- Oct 6, 2026Warrington Town2-2Workington
- Oct 6, 2026Whitby Town2-6Gainsborough Trinity
- Oct 6, 2026Quorn2-2Ashton United