Where and when is Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton played?

Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Giant Axe Stadium, Lancaster, Lancashire

Lancaster City

Curzon Ashton

The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Curzon Ashton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Lancaster City (1,745) and Curzon Ashton (1,710).

Lancaster City win45 %

Draw27 %

Curzon Ashton win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lancaster City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Curzon Ashton have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lancaster City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Quorn(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Redcar Athletic(away)	1-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Hyde United(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Rylands(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Ashton United(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern

Curzon Ashton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Guiseley AFC(home)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Bamber Bridge(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 14, 2026	AFC Emley(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bury(away)	2-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Alfreton Town(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lancaster City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Curzon Ashton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 1, 2013	Lancaster City 1-2 Curzon Ashton	FA Cup
Sep 28, 2013	Curzon Ashton 0-0 Lancaster City	FA Cup

Last archived meeting: Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton on Oct 1, 2013

How many goals should we expect?

Lancaster City score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Curzon Ashton score 1.1 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lancaster City	1.5	1.5	5	10/15	10/15
Curzon Ashton	1.1	2.0	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lancaster City sit 18th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 5 matches) and Curzon Ashton sit 16th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Curzon Ashton	5	1	1	3	7	9	4
18	Lancaster City	5	1	1	3	6	11	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton?: The Footlab model makes Lancaster City the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Curzon Ashton.
Where and when is Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton played?: Lancaster City vs Curzon Ashton is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Giant Axe Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.