Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro played?

Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire

Gainsborough Trinity

Avro

The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gainsborough Trinity. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Gainsborough Trinity (1,791) and Avro (1,854).

Gainsborough Trinity win34 %

Draw28 %

Avro win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Avro have 12, 0 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gainsborough Trinity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bury(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Workington(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern

Avro
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hyde United(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2026	Workington(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Bamber Bridge(away)	6-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 8, 2026	Quorn(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Northern

How many goals should we expect?

Gainsborough Trinity score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Avro score 3.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gainsborough Trinity	1.1	1.3	4	7/15	8/15
Avro	3.3	1.3	3	10/15	14/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gainsborough Trinity sit 8th in Non League Premier - Northern (9 points from 5 matches) and Avro sit 3rd (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Avro	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
8	Gainsborough Trinity	5	3	0	2	10	4	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro?: The Footlab model makes Avro the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Gainsborough Trinity.
Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro played?: Gainsborough Trinity vs Avro is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.