Ashton United vs Cleethorpes Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hurst Cross, Ashton-under-Lyne, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ashton United vs Cleethorpes Town?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Ashton United (1,753) and Cleethorpes Town (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ashton United have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Cleethorpes Town have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(away) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alfreton Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Ashton United win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cleethorpes Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town 2-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Ashton United 0-4 Cleethorpes Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Cleethorpes Town vs Ashton United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cleethorpes Town score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cleethorpes Town | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ashton United sit 5th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Cleethorpes Town sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Ashton United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ashton United vs Cleethorpes Town?
- The Footlab model makes Cleethorpes Town the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Ashton United vs Cleethorpes Town played?
- Ashton United vs Cleethorpes Town is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hurst Cross, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.