Leganes vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganes wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganes vs Tenerife?
On Elo ratings, Leganes has 1,903 points and Tenerife 2,016.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganes vs Tenerife
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganes
3-4-2-1- 19P. Soko
- 11Naim García
- 17Ismaël Gharbi
- 10Z. Buurmeester
- 8Y. Kechta
- 22Álex Sancris
- 20Miguel Atienza
- 5Ignasi Miquel
- 2Marvel
- 6Lalo Aguilar
- 13L. Zidane
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 17C. Gomis
- 15Fabricio
- 6Juanjo
- 10Nacho Gil
- 29Daniel Fernández
- 2David Rodríguez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 19César Álvarez
- 4José León
- 1Dani Martín
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganes have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tenerife have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganes win, 3 draws, 2 Tenerife wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tenerife 2-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leganes 0-0 Tenerife | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Tenerife 0-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Leganes 1-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Tenerife 1-0 Leganes | Segunda División |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Leganes 2-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Leganes score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| Tenerife | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganes sit 17th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Tenerife sit 12th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Leganes vs Tenerife?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganes vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganes the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Leganes vs Tenerife played?
- Leganes vs Tenerife is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.