Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Gijon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Las Palmas (1,977) and Sporting Gijon (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sporting Gijon have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Las Palmas wins, 2 draws, 0 Sporting Gijon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Las Palmas 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 29, 2022 | Sporting Gijon 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Dec 5, 2021 | Las Palmas 1-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 15th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Sporting Gijon sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Sporting Gijon.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon played?
- Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijon is played on January 31, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.