Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, Las Rozas de Madrid
The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alcobendas Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Las Rozas (1,784) and Alcobendas Sport (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Rozas have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alcobendas Sport have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 31, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 17, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 10, 2026 | Galapagar(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | AD Parla(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Alcorcón II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Las Rozas win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Alcobendas Sport win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Las Rozas 1-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Alcobendas Sport 2-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Alcobendas Sport 0-0 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Las Rozas 1-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 1, 2024 | Las Rozas 2-1 Alcobendas Sport | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Alcobendas Sport 0-2 Las Rozas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Las Rozas score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alcobendas Sport score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Rozas | 1.7 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Alcobendas Sport | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Rozas sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (56 points from 34 matches) and Alcobendas Sport sit 11th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Las Rozas | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 56 |
| 11 | Alcobendas Sport | 34 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 49 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport?
- The Footlab model makes Las Rozas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alcobendas Sport.
- Where and when is Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport played?
- Las Rozas vs Alcobendas Sport is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Dehesa de Navalcarbón 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 25, 2026Leganés IIvsTrival Valderas
- Oct 25, 2026Pozuelo AlarcónvsTorrejón
- Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Oct 25, 2026Real AranjuezvsFuenlabrada
- Oct 25, 2026Villanueva PardillovsMóstoles
- Oct 25, 2026GalapagarvsRC Alcobendas
- Oct 25, 2026Cala PozuelovsSS Reyes II
- Oct 25, 2026Parla EscuelavsUnión Adarve