Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid
The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RC Alcobendas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Galapagar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,739) and RC Alcobendas (1,744).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galapagar
Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.
RC Alcobendas
Not enough data to predict the RC Alcobendas lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; RC Alcobendas have 2, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Móstoles(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganés II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Rozas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano II(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Galapagar score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; RC Alcobendas score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galapagar | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| RC Alcobendas | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0 | 6/7 | 5/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galapagar sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (11 points from 7 matches) and RC Alcobendas sit 12th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galapagar the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for RC Alcobendas.
- Where and when is Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas played?
- Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Real AranjuezvsFuenlabrada
- Oct 25, 2026Las RozasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Oct 25, 2026Leganés IIvsTrival Valderas
- Oct 25, 2026Pozuelo AlarcónvsTorrejón
- Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Oct 25, 2026Villanueva PardillovsMóstoles
- Oct 25, 2026Cala PozuelovsSS Reyes II
- Oct 25, 2026Parla EscuelavsUnión Adarve