Match

Leganés II vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés IITrival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Leganés II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Trival Valderas?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Trival Valderas (1,829).

Leganés II win34 %
Draw29 %
Trival Valderas win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 12, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)3-3Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Trival Valderas(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026Alcobendas Sport(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Tres Cantos(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026La Nucía(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026La Nucía(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Las Rozas(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026Las Rozas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Trival Valderas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026Leganés II 0-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 8, 2026Leganés II 0-1 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 28, 2025Trival Valderas 0-2 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 2, 2025Trival Valderas 1-1 Leganés IITercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 21, 2024Leganés II 1-2 Trival ValderasTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Leganés II on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Leganés II1.71.6310/158/15
Trival Valderas1.50.777/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Trival Valderas3418610503660
5Leganés II34151010633355

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Trival Valderas?
The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Leganés II.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Trival Valderas played?
Leganés II vs Trival Valderas is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Leganés II and Trival Valderas

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