Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Villanueva Pardillo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles?
Móstoles starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Villanueva Pardillo
4-3-3- PPablo Sánchez Flores Casanova
- CChuky
- KKoh Ji-Soung
- RRulo Alonso
- JJorge Sánchez
- AAndrés Alcaide Jimenez
- AAnder DÃaz
- JJosele
- CCarlos Albares
- JJorge MartÃnez
- JJosé Damián Climent Requena
Móstoles
Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 04:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Móstoles have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torrejón(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcobendas Sport(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Unión Adarve(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Leganés II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torrejón(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cala Pozuelo(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win, 0 draws, 3 Móstoles wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Móstoles 3-5 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Móstoles 2-0 Villanueva Pardillo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Villanueva Pardillo 0-3 Móstoles | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villanueva Pardillo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Móstoles | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villanueva Pardillo sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (4 points from 7 matches) and Móstoles sit 2nd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 17 | Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
A question about Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles?
- The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Villanueva Pardillo.
- Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles played?
- Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 25, 2026Las RozasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Oct 25, 2026Leganés IIvsTrival Valderas
- Oct 25, 2026Pozuelo AlarcónvsTorrejón
- Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Oct 25, 2026GalapagarvsRC Alcobendas
- Oct 25, 2026Cala PozuelovsSS Reyes II
- Oct 25, 2026Parla EscuelavsUnión Adarve