Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles played?

Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, Villanueva del Pardillo

Villanueva Pardillo

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Villanueva Pardillo (1,721) and Móstoles (1,754).

Villanueva Pardillo win41 %

Draw27 %

Móstoles win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villanueva Pardillo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Villanueva Pardillo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Carabanchel(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Móstoles(away)	5-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	SS Reyes II(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Racing Madrid(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Villanueva Pardillo win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Móstoles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Móstoles 3-5 Villanueva Pardillo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 4, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo 1-2 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 11, 2024	Móstoles 2-0 Villanueva Pardillo	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 24, 2023	Villanueva Pardillo 0-3 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Móstoles vs Villanueva Pardillo on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Villanueva Pardillo score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Villanueva Pardillo	1.3	1.0	5	7/15	6/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Villanueva Pardillo sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (44 points from 34 matches) and Móstoles sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51
12	Villanueva Pardillo	34	13	5	16	39	45	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Villanueva Pardillo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles played?: Villanueva Pardillo vs Móstoles is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal Juan Manuel Angelina, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.