Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó played?

Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, Madrid

Rayo Vallecano II

Colonia Moscardó

The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Rayo Vallecano II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Rayo Vallecano II (1,714) and Colonia Moscardó (1,765).

Rayo Vallecano II win35 %

Draw25 %

Colonia Moscardó win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rayo Vallecano II have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Colonia Moscardó have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rayo Vallecano II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Rayo Majadahonda(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Socuéllamos(home)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026	RSD Alcalá(away)	0-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026	Intercity(home)	3-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 4, 2026	Elche II(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

Colonia Moscardó
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Intercity(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026	Navalcarnero(home)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 14, 2026	Real Madrid III(away)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026	Orihuela(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026	Getafe II(away)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rayo Vallecano II win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Colonia Moscardó win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 8, 2026	Colonia Moscardó 4-0 Rayo Vallecano II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 19, 2025	Rayo Vallecano II 0-1 Colonia Moscardó	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 21, 2024	Colonia Moscardó 3-2 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 3, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II 0-2 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 5, 2022	Rayo Vallecano II 4-0 Colonia Moscardó	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 7, 2021	Colonia Moscardó 0-2 Rayo Vallecano II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Colonia Moscardó vs Rayo Vallecano II on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Rayo Vallecano II score 0.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Colonia Moscardó score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Rayo Vallecano II	0.6	2.3	1	6/15	10/15
Colonia Moscardó	1.1	1.3	5	5/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó?: The Footlab model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Rayo Vallecano II.
Where and when is Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó played?: Rayo Vallecano II vs Colonia Moscardó is played on October 25, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva Rayo Vallecano Campo 2, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.