Lazio vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Olimpico, Roma
The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lazio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lazio vs Frosinone?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Lazio (2,191) and Frosinone (2,114).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lazio vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 16D. Frattesi
- 24Kenneth Taylor
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 37J. Šutalo
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 35C. Mandas
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 73P. Masini
- 3G. Calvani
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 30I. Monterisi
- 20A. Oyono
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lazio have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Frosinone have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 6-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Parma(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 5-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 4-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Lazio wins, 0 draws, 0 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Frosinone 1-2 Lazio | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Frosinone 0-2 Lazio | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Frosinone 2-3 Lazio | Serie A |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Lazio 3-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Feb 4, 2019 | Frosinone 0-1 Lazio | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Lazio 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Lazio score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Frosinone | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lazio sit 1st in Serie A (28 points from 10 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 20 |
A question about Lazio vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lazio vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lazio the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Lazio vs Frosinone played?
- Lazio vs Frosinone is played on March 7, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Olimpico, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.